Artificial Intelligence Predictions for 2024
Come on, let’s play the predictions game for this newly started 2024! First things first, does everyone agree that Artificial Intelligence (AI) will take over the world this year? Does anyone doubt it? I don’t think that even electric cars or the fight against climate change will dethrone AI this year.
What can we expect this year?
I believe that predictions are inversely proportional to technological disruptions. Therefore, if there isn’t much revolution, probably many of us will be right. A disruption would be, for example, if AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) became a reality.
My predictions for 2024
Copyright trials: The New York Times set the precedent at the end of the year with a lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft for using their articles to train their models. Many content creators will join in. There was also a dazzling move to get paid for such content.
Optimization of models: I think we are currently firing with royal gunpowder. Just ask Microsoft, who provides the GPUs and the power. The algorithm will continue to evolve, yielding equal or superior results against the same benchmarks but with a smaller number of parameters. On the other hand, Intel and AMD will start to take a slice of Nvidia’s pie. They have greatly evolved their designs, and evidence of this is seen in how well llama.cpp runs on the latest processors. This will be key to further democratizing AI.
Loads of disappointment and frustration: Companies and consultancies will pop up like mushrooms attempting AI projects… and the flop will be considerable. Why? For the same reason that we wanted to put Dashboards everywhere. Either we don’t have data, or we have unreliable or low-quality data. I see a first semester filled with excitement and a crash, and a second where data engineering will reign supreme. As we know, “no data, no party”.
What about you? What do you think?
I dare not venture any further. What about you? What do you think? What are your predictions?